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Spring Investment Monitor – March 2016

    CPD
    Approx.60min
    Spring Investment Monitor – March 2016

    Introduction

    Accordingly, we too are keen to do more on the subject. So as well as continuing to cover the smaller standout performers from across the fund universe, next month we’ll reveal the members of the inaugural Investment Adviser Hidden Gem Club.

    The framework will be similar to that used to pick our annual 100 Club selection: a quantitative screen, followed by a judging session to highlight the very best. I hope we’re able to highlight a few stellar performers that are less well known to the intermediary community.

    It’s clear the subject that remains at the forefront of the industry agenda. When I wrote on the topic in February, I noted one recent report – published by The Lang Cat consultancy and CWC Research – had emphasised the relative paucity of unique holdings in discretionary and multi-asset portfolios.

    Since then, as if to emphasise the point, another publication – by Fundscape and the gbi2 consultancy – has reported similar findings. It found that “sales momentum” is often a factor behind funds’ inclusion on buy lists. Here’s another way of emphasising the vicious circle faced by smaller portfolios. By definition, these vehicles don’t have any kind of sales momentum and often struggle to gain acceptance as a result.

    But as gbi2 founder Graham Bentley notes, this doesn’t mean these products aren’t worthy of consideration. “We were surprised by the number of funds that were clearly strong candidates for inclusion, but were overlooked by some independent researchers,” he says.

    I’ve mentioned some potential solutions before: founder share classes offering discounted access to portfolios in the early stages of their existence are one. But as the above reports suggest, a lot of the issues are not temporary features of the market, but structural ones.

    Working out a way to encourage platforms to list lesser-known products, or pondering how to ensure the larger fund buyers can safely access sub-£100m portfolios, can’t be done in isolation. This is the point where issues of affordability, liquidity and adaptability converge.

    Buying a smaller fund can feel riskier, irrespective of its actual attributes. They don’t have the accolades of their larger peers. They sometimes don’t even have the longer-term track records. However, one important quality stands out in their favour and that’s their potential to add alpha to portfolios.

    On a basic level, the fact that so many fund buyers are crowding round the same products means those willing to look elsewhere can differentiate their investment offering – and their returns – more easily.

    On top of that, there’s a growing amount of academic research which suggests that funds in the opening stages of their lives are better equipped to outperform those that have been around for longer. Most, though not all, hidden gem funds would fall into this former category.

    For instance, a study published in 2014 by the US National Bureau of Economic Research found funds’ performances drop off at a steady rate as they become older. The report looked at 3,000 US portfolios over a 30-year period and concluded that selectors confronted with two similar funds would, as a rule of thumb, be better off choosing the newer vehicle.

    The trend may be further exaggerated by the rise of what fund selector Jon Beckett terms ‘supertanker funds’: portfolios that have become so large that their performance begins to suffer as a result. We’ll continue to look at the opposite end of the spectrum in a bid to help readers offset these potential issues.

    Dan Jones is editor of Investment Adviser

    In this special report

    CPD
    Approx.60min

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    1. The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) global growth projections were revised downwards at the start of this year by 0.2 percentage points to what for 2016?

    2. In 2015 the London Stock Exchange recorded 92 IPOs raising approximately how much money?

    3. What percentage of respondents in a survey conducted by Impax and Google on investor attitudes to climate change in the wake of the COP21 conference, were concerned about climate change?

    4. According to commentators the probability of a recession occurring in the US has increased for sometime in the next how many years?

    5. According to estimates from JPMorgan Chase a leave vote in the EU referendum could equate to a hit to UK GDP growth of what figure in the 12 months after the vote?

    6. How many of the IPOs listed in London in 2015 had ended up in the FTSE 250 by the end of the year?

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